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Tonight’s matchup on paper is considered a mismatch from jump street. The Cincinnati Bengals led by 2nd year QB Joe Burrow are home hosting the winless Jaguars & Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence & 1st year NFL coach Urban Meyers.

Before we run to the window & get a second mortgage, let’s take a deeper look at the Opening numbers, then decide why Vegas opened it at -6.5 & why it’s -7.5 climbing to 8.

Bengals as we stated , 2-1 this year, home opener OT win vs Vikings. Then traveled to Chicago , where Joe threw 3 straight picks, got down big early, to rally & lose by 3. Last week, Bengals opened +6, closed +3 at Pittsburgh & rolled for the upset win.

Jaguars season just hasn’t been pretty. Opening game -3 @ Houston and got smashed box to wire. Week 2, had there chances early +6 vs Denver, 2 missed field goals , then 4th quarter melt down and loss. Last week +7.5 at home vs Cardinals & leading at halftime, only to struggle AGAIN second half & lose by DD.

With all this said, ECSI doesn’t think the opening number -6.5 is miss priced, but the PUBLIC running to there local shops like it’s giving away money!!! Our team has crunched the numbers & feels there is some value in the JAGS!!!

820pm #101 JAGUARS +8 -120 our FREEBIE

At print this line was +7.5, we spent the extra $10 & bought the HOOK to +8 🙌

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Best of luck tonight & this weekend.. Always invest & wager with your head , not your ❤️

Jeff Dawson


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