NOTES: There are two no lined games (TBR/TOR) and (NYM/MIA). I have a line for the the TBR/TOR and NYM have no listed pitcher yet. There no dogs that my model says should be a favorite today.

There is only one game where my model suggests the line is off by 20 basis points or more. It is AR/COL. My model suggests that COL is too large a favorite making value on ARI. Worth looking into. The SDP large variance should be ignored. Model really likes SDP but by 150 points is a flaw.

The lines are tight so lineups could be a difference maker today. Sundays are notorious for managers resting players. Stay in tune with who is playing. A major run producer not playing is worth up to 3 or 4 points in line, let alone if two are sitting!

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Jeff Dawson


PS.. Hope everyone enjoyed the INDIANS +122️ Winner vs White Sox

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