NFL FREE PICK
FROM DAVID HESS
Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots
The Jaguars had a very high scoring game against the Steelers last week and that is not how they want to play a game. If they try and outscore the Pats in a shootout, they will lose. They have a strong running game and will use that to keep the high-powered New England offense on the sidelines. Brady is hurt and will probably play, but that had has to affect his downfield throwing, so they may look to run the ball a bit more in this one. The Jags have a strong defense, but it was torched last week and you can bet that they will look to have a much better showing in this one. The Jags have allowed just 19.3 ppg on the road, while the Pats have allowed just 20.1 ppg here at home.
I look for this game to go Under the total.
Prediction: Under 46