NOTES: There is plenty of variance in the games today! The games that are over 20 basis points include MIL/CHC (30), KC/DET (27), ARI/ATL (35), LAA/HOU (39), PIT/MIN (26), and PHI/COL (27).

My model likes LAA to be even with HOU today. The variance is generated by Heaney being a better pitcher than Greinke. It likes CIN as -115 FAV instead of EVEN. It likes PHI as FAV over COL.

I was surprised to see TB on my model not get support as Glasnow is very highly rated pitcher. The reason is that my model thinks TB is a .500 win team and TOR is a .525 win team. Another surprise was how the sportsbooks like DET and Mize. My model suggests a modest KC FAV with Minor.

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Jeff Dawson


PS.. Hope everyone enjoyed the INDIANS +122️ Winner vs White Sox

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